Horseracing The biggest volumes -- liquidity -- on Betfair exists in the horseracing markets, averaging around £700,000 on the lower grade racing and up to £5,000,000 on Group and Listed races. There are nearly as many strategies for trading horseracing on Betfair as there are traders. Do you enter a market 3 hours before the race? An hour before? !0 minutes before the Off? Do you take a Momentum or Positional approach? You will find the strategy that suits you best through user experience. However, whatever your modus operandi it is worthwhile to keep in mind some guidelines. 1) Only trade one horse in a race. Having a financial interest in more than one WILL result in unforced mistakes. Leave multiple trading to the very expert players and the bots. 2) Focus on a horse that is at the front of the market -- first, second or third favourite. Ignore the outsiders; the liquidity will be relatively low for the "rags". Odds of 50/1 might seem attractive to Back but you may find it hard to get out of the trade -- nobody might be prepared to match you when you want to lay off. 3) Follow the money. Don't go against the market unless you are privy to some information that nobody else has. Always remain aware of the Weight Of Money indices; if there is £10,000 available to back but £65,000 available to Lay it is likely that the odds will move upwards. ( The sheer amount of Lay money will force the price outwards.) It is useful to identify those races which provide good trading opportunities. The two graphs below show the Price/Volume movements of two horses in the same race. Graph A at first sight reflects a movement that seems flat and static, but the trader can glean quite some information by more than a cursory look. Most important aspects to consider are the Support and Resistance Points. The Support Point is basically the floor or bottom price which the market has reached. In this instance, the Support Point is around 9.0 (the price has once dropped very briefly and very slightly below this but this aberration can be ignored). Similarly with the Resistance Point at 12.0 - 12.5. You will notice that all the major betting activity has occurred between the Support and Resistance Points. Graph B indicates a horse which clearly is continuously and consistently shortening in price. A B ![]() Which horse should you as a trader concentrate on? Horse B is an attractive proposition so long as you are on the Back side (so you can subsequently Lay off for a profit). However, horse A is also worthy of consideration if the price reaches the upper Resistance Point (to Back) or the lower Support Point ( to Lay). |
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FOOTBALL (Soccer). Football is the biggest sport in the world and has volumes of liquidity on Betfair concomitant with that. Football is right up there with horseracing in sheer volume of betting amounts, and on some occasions like high profile Premier League and World Cup games the liquidity would surpass that of horseracing. The amount of football games played in the many leagues around the world 24 hours a day means the footbal trader is never wanting for an available market. In pre-match betting, selecting the "right" football match to trade in is vital. Factors to be considered might include ................ |
TENNIS Tennis does hold some attraction for the ambitious trader. There are certain advantages to trading the tennis markets. There are only two possible outcomes to a tennis match -- Win or Lose -- so the odds are directly linked to each other. Some suggestions for profitable tennis trading: Back the favourite when he/she goes behind. You will be getting a Back bet at inflated odds which will almost inevitably contract again when the favourite regains his lead. And when a favourite loses a set, statistics show that there is a 75% chance that he will recover in the next set. Even if he doesn't regain the lead, the odds should not increase much further and you will be able to get out at a small loss. 2) Back a player BEFORE he's about to score the game point. Lay it back after he scores for locked in profit. One downside of Tennis trading. A cautionary tale. A London based tennis trader went to New York every summer. He was able to rent a townhouse in an up-market neighbourhood and still show a profit of £500,000 at the end of three months. How? He was trading the tennis markets from courtside against the other traders back in the UK watching the games on satellite television. The U.K. traders were subject to a 7-second picture delay caused by the uploading of the television signal to the satellite and transmission back to their screens. Be aware of the picture time-delay when trading tennis in-play. |
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