Are Bookmakers odds an accurate reflection of the TRUE odds of a result? No, because a Bookmaker's "pricing-up" of an event is dependent on collateral factors. The Bookmaker's main objective is to create a balanced over-round book whereby he will achieve a return irrespective of the outcome. He tries to achieve this by attracting bets in the right proportions to prevailing odds. If there is too much money on a particular contestant at particular odds then the odds will be reduced. The over-round is the bookmaker's profit in an ideal market where he can attract an amount of money for each contestant in an event. An over-round in a race may be as high 160% or as low as 102%. The value-seeking bettor should restrict his interest to races with low over-rounds.
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You should certainly take note of the website www.oddschecker.com . This is a totally free website which requires no signing up or log-in. The other odds comparison site Betbetting is considered by some to have a more efficient sotware architecture resulting in a quicker updating of live odds. (However, this writer does find that the loading of individual Bestbetting pages takes a little longer.)
Taking the 18:40 race at Haydock on 17/07/2010 as an example, when we
apply the above five tools we get a valuable insight into the
prevailing conditions of the market. 1) Top Movers shows a
particular Bookmaker's most recent movers in the market. In the example
Haydock race, we see that Uptown Guy has contracted from 5/2 into 7/4
with William Hill. (The strongest movers are listed in descending order
according to the significance figure on the right. ![]() 2) The Steamer's report lists those horses whose odds have contracted from the Bookmakers opening price. Along with Uptown Guy in the Haydock race under review, we cannot help but notice the very considerable contraction of the odds for Peters Spirit also (In to 16/1 from 200/1 ![]() ![]() 3) The Drifters report, as its name suggests, lists the market drifters in a race. Again, taking the 18:40 race we see that Shaabek has drifted from 10/1 to 12/1 ![]() 4) Top Differences gives the latest price differences between various bookmakers for the same horse. Token Gift is on offer at odds of 100/1 with one Bookmaker but as low as 50/1 with another. ![]() 5) Best Books gives the over-round for each race. calculates the total book (overround or overbroke) for each event. The larger the book value, the more money the bookies make. The smaller the overround, the more chance the punter has to make money. ![]() |


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